Just checked the Deribit options expiry data for May 1st and there's some pretty significant action happening. Over $2.14 billion in notional value expiring today, which is honestly a lot to digest. Bitcoin's side of things is dominating with $1.74 billion up for expiration, put/call sitting at 1.10, and the max pain is pegged at $76k. Ethereum's got $394 million expiring with a 0.95 put/call ratio and $2,325 as the pain point. What caught my eye is that BTC is literally trading right at that max pain level on Deribit, which usually means things could get interesting. ETH is still hanging below its pain point though. Deribit's data suggests we might see some volatility as these options roll off, so worth keeping an eye on the next few hours if you're trading.

At midnight, Bitcoin surged upward again. The long positions provided by Silk Road in the evening around 80,500–81,000 were once again validated. Meanwhile, earlier it was also pointed out that Bitcoin was to go long around 80,500 and Ethereum was to go long around 2,300, and the rebound came exactly as expected. This is the process of how the bullish momentum released by the strength of the daily chart gradually empowers the bulls. In fact, this was already emphasized last Friday, and today’s livestream emphasized it even more clearly. After consecutive bearish candles, the monthly chart first formed a turning-up pattern—turning bullish and rising. And it’s important to note that, in my opinion, the strength of this rise is still relatively strong. The main reason is that at the low level, a valid engulfing-style triple bullish candle reversal rebound has formed. Although the month has just begun, based on the space available right now, the probability of closing lower is still not high. And there is still room above the 84,000 area. Overall, the monthly chart remains bullish. On the daily and weekly timeframes, it has been repeatedly emphasized since last week to go long. On Friday, it was directly told everyone that this momentum must not be shorted. The reason is that, based on the pattern, it’s no longer possible to look at a C-wave decline, because the rebound space for the tail wave is too large. On the daily chart, within a strong momentum rhythm, it basically manifests as consecutive bullish rebounds and minor bearish pullbacks for correction—only the adjustment space is slightly larger. But the larger the adjustment space, the more bullish upside momentum it means. For Bitcoin, whether it’s about our strategy or our videos, the guidance is basically to buy around 80,500. The rebound still has more than 1,000 points of room upward, so it can continue to be held. For the swing target, keep focusing on 82,800. For the swing’s second target, focus on around 2,470. For those who are currently in cash with no positions, the evening pullback should not be too deep—wake up early tomorrow morning and go long directly. For the swing trade, in my view, entering can be done anywhere in the 78,500–80,500 range. The target is simply around 82,800, as we mentioned.